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Construction Activity Projected to Accelerate Through 2019

The American Institute of Architects reports that strength in the industrial and institutional sectors will offset a potential projected easing in commercial construction activity.

By Church Designer Staff   •  January 30, 2018 12:12 pm EST

Tags: aec, building, business, economy,

Despite labor shortages and rising material costs that continue to impact the construction sector, construction spending for nonresidential buildings is projected to increase 4% this year and continue at that pace of growth through 2019. The Washington, D.C.-based American Institute of Architects (AIA) semi-annual Consensus Construction Forecast indicates that the commercial construction sectors will generate much of the expected gains this year, and by 2019 the industrial and institutional sectors will dominate the projected construction growth.

“Rebuilding after the record-breaking losses from natural disasters last year, the recently enacted tax reform bill, and the prospects of an infrastructure package are expected to provide opportunities for even more robust levels of activity within the industry,” says AIA Chief Economist Kermit Baker, PhD, Hon. AIA. “The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) and other major leading indicators for the industry also point to an upturn in construction activity over the coming year.”

Market Segment Consensus Growth Forecasts

Percentage on left: 2018; percentage on right: 2019

Overall nonresidential building 4.0% 3.9%

Commercial/industrial 4.4% 2.9%

Office space 4.6% 3.0%

Retail 4.4% 3.5%

Hotels 4.1% 0.8%

Industrial facilities 3.3% 5.2%

Institutional 3.8% 4.3%

Religious -1.1% 0.9%

Education 4.0% 4.9%

Healthcare facilities 4.0% 4.0%

Public safety 3.6% 3.9%

Amusement/recreation 3.3% 2.4%

Learn more about the Consensus Construction Forecast here:

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